January 14, 2011Vol 4, Issue 1
DFW Financial Planning
Greetings!

Jean KeenerGood morning, and happy new year!

 

December was a very nice month in the stock market with the S&P 500 up more than 6%, and January's continuing the upward trend.  There's a full look at 2010 market performance below with performance of all the major indices.

 

If you participate in an employer retirement plan, take a moment to review your contribution levels this month.  Make sure you're timing your contributions to make full use of employer matching (some employers stop matching if you max out early), and review your savings level.  A good use of the 2% payroll tax reduction for 2011 might be to increase your retirement savings level if you're not already maxing out.

 

In this month's newsletter, we have a humorous look at investing resolutions for the new year, the 2010 market update, and details on estate tax law changes.   The schedule for my personal finance workshops at Keller Public Library is also included.  In case you haven't seen a summary of all the tax changes enacted last month,  here's a link to my tax act client update.  As always, feel free to e-mail me at jean@keenerfinancial.com with requests for newsletter topics you'd like to see covered or to discuss concerns or questions on anything in the financial world.  Thanks, and Live Well.

In This Issue
2010 Market Review
Investing New Year's Resolutions
Estate Tax Changes
Keller Public Library Personal Finance Workshop Schedule
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2010 Market Review

2010 Index Performance

The past year offered an interesting mix of positive and negative news as we eagerly anticipated signs of economic recovery and financial stabilization. While most financial markets logged positive returns for a second straight year, we had to endure A LOT of troubling news and pessimistic market predictions. Even eight months into the year, the S&P 500 Index was down 5.9%. But diversified, long-term investors were rewarded with attractive market returns, as the S&P 500 closed the year up 15.06%, with 10.76% of the gain coming in the fourth quarter.

 

After a slow start and a tough second quarter, most markets in the world ended the year with positive results. The US market indices accounted for most of the top performance, with the Russell 2000 Growth Index delivering a 29.09% return for the year. US small cap and small value also were among the top performers. (All returns are in US dollars.)

 

Most developed markets around the world logged positive returns, with thirty-seven of the forty-five countries that MSCI tracks gaining ground in both local currency and US dollar terms. Scandinavia and Asia had particularly high returns. Overall, the MSCI World ex USA index gained 9%, and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index gained 19% for the year.

 

In the last few months of the year, the highest returns were generally experienced by countries whose economies are dominated by oil and commodity exports-for example, Canada, Norway, Russia, and South Africa. Other emerging markets, such as Thailand, Philippines, Chile, and Peru had strong returns. China, despite its continued high profile and news of economic growth, was one of the lowest-performing emerging markets.

The US dollar lost ground against the Canadian dollar and most Pacific Rim currencies, which helped dollar-denominated equity returns from those countries. The US dollar gained against the euro and British pound.

 

Looking at company size, small caps outperformed large caps by substantial margins in the US, developed, and emerging markets. Value stocks underperformed growth stocks across all market capitalization segments in the US and had more mixed results in international developed and emerging markets.

 

Fixed income performed generally well, especially for investors who took term and credit risk, with long-term, high-yield bonds returning more than 20%. Real estate securities had excellent returns, performing comparably to the equity asset classes.

Investing New Year's Resolutions

I'm generally not a fan of New Year's resolutions, but when I came across this list of investing resolutions I had to share it.  Brad Steiman, the Canadian Director of Financial Services for Dimensional Fund Advisors, reminds us in a light-hearted, humorous way about some of the important factors in investing success.  Enjoy!

 

Investing New Year's Resolutions

by Brad Steimen (used with permission)

 

Bradley SteimenIt's that time of year when many of us think about establishing one or more New Year's resolutions. This often means committing to improving one's lifestyle by losing weight, exercising more, or drinking less. Some investors could probably benefit from resolutions targeting their financial health as well. Just as many individuals endanger their well-being with bad habits, numerous investors suffer from ill-advised practices that are detrimental to their wealth. Perhaps a set of New Year's investment resolutions, along with an advisor capable of helping investors adhere to them, will lead to a more prosperous future.

 

Everybody wants to be healthier, and many people want to be wealthier, but it's just not that easy. Most of us are creatures of habit and discover that making permanent changes in our behavior is surprisingly difficult. We need every possible mental crutch at our disposal to help us adhere to a new regimen; hence we establish mental road signs, such as New Year's resolutions, as behavioral aids.

 

To make matters worse, our commitment to change is sometimes tested by examples of those who ignore prudent behavior to their apparent advantage and those who follow it to their apparent detriment. Winston Churchill lived to age 90, fortified by an ample supply of champagne and cigars, while author and jogging enthusiast Jim Fixx died of a heart attack at age 52. In the financial world, the investor who sunk every penny into Apple shares ten years ago watched her investment multiply over forty-fold while a globally diversified equity portfolio lost money. These isolated examples may test our faith but should not encourage us to abandon a proven set of prescriptions; continuing to apply them will still improve our odds.

 

So, for those who find making such promises useful, here are ten investment-related resolutions that will hopefully result in better long-term wealth:

 

1.I will not confuse entertainment with advice. I will acknowledge that the financial media is in the entertainment business and their message can compromise my long-term focus and discipline, leading me to make poor investment decisions. If necessary I will turn off CNBC and turn on ESPN.
2.I will stop searching for tomorrow's star money manager, as there are no gurus. Capitalism will be my guru because with capitalism there is a positive expected return on capital, and it is there for the taking. And for me to succeed, someone else doesn't have to fail.
3.I will not invest based on a forecast-whether it is mine or anyone else's. I will recognize that the urge to form an opinion will never go away, but I won't act on it because no one can repeatedly predict the future. It is, by definition, uncertain.
4.I will keep a long-term perspective and appropriately consider my investment horizon (i.e., how long my portfolio is to be invested) when determining my performance horizon (i.e., the time frame I use to evaluate results).
5.I will continue to invest new capital and work my plan because it is time in the market-and not timing the market-that matters.
6.I will adhere to my plan and continue to rebalance (i.e., systematically buying more of what hasn't done well recently) rather than "unbalance" (i.e., buying more of what's hot).
7.I will not focus my portfolio in a few securities, or even a few asset classes, as diversification remains the closest thing to a free lunch.
8.I will ensure my portfolio is appropriate for my goals and objectives while only taking risks worth taking.
9.I will manage my emotions by learning about and acknowledging the biases and cognitive errors that influence my behavior.
10.I will keep my cost of investing reasonable.

 

Most of us find it hard to follow a sensible diet or a sensible investment strategy 100% of the time. If you must stray when managing your wealth or well-being, moderation is the key. Chocolate cake is OK, as long as it's not for dinner every night. Speculating on a stock or two is all right as well, as long as you don't do it with your investment capital.

 

Finally, just as successful athletes rely on coaches and trainers to help them achieve their goals, most investors can probably benefit from having a "financial coach" to remind them about their New Year's resolutions and keep them on track toward a more prosperous future.

 

I wish you good health and good wealth in 2011.

Estate Tax Changes

Estate Tax UpdatesAmong many other things, the 2010 Tax Act signed into law on December 17, 2010 dramatically changes the federal transfer tax landscape.  (For a review of the other relevant changes, here's a link to my Tax Act Client Update from December.)

 

The biggest news: the estate and generation-skipping transfer (GST) taxes have been reinstated for 2010. And, to the delight of some and great disappointment of others, for 2010 through 2012, the estate tax exemption equivalent amount is increased to $5 million (indexed for inflation in 2012), and the top estate tax rate is set at 35%. Here is a look at the changes.

For 2010

For 2010, the federal gift tax is unchanged by the 2010 Tax Act. The gift tax remains in force with an exemption equivalent amount (called the "applicable exclusion amount") of $1 million and a top tax rate of 35% (also, remember that if you file as single, you can exclude gifts of up to $13,000 per recipient, or if you're married and file jointly, you can exclude gifts of up to $26,000 per recipient).

 

The estate tax has been reinstated for 2010, with a "basic" exclusion amount (the name has been changed from the "applicable" exclusion amount) of $5 million. That translates into a tax credit of $1,730,800. The top estate tax rate is 35%.

 

The 2010 Tax Act gives estates of decedents dying after December 31, 2009, and before January 1, 2011, the option to elect to apply (1) the reinstated estate tax with a step-up (or step-down) in basis, or (2) no estate tax with a modified carryover basis. The modified carryover basis allows an increase in basis of $1.3 million, plus an additional $3 million for property that passes to a surviving spouse.

 

The GST tax (a separate tax on assets transferred to grandchildren and lower generations) has also been reinstated, but at a rate of zero percent.

 

Note: The 2010 Tax Act provides an extension of sorts to pay estate taxes for decedents dying after December 31, 2009, and before the date of enactment of the 2010 Tax Act. The due date for filing an estate tax return, paying estate taxes, or disclaiming an interest in property passing to a beneficiary from a decedent's estate is nine months after the date of enactment of the 2010 Tax Act.

 

Note: IRS Form 8939 is necessary to allocate the $1.3 million basis adjustment allowed for any heirs and the additional $3 million basis adjustment allowed for surviving spouses of decedents who die in 2010. Originally, the form was due on the same date as the decedent's final income tax return (April 18, 2011). The 2010 Tax Act also extends this deadline to nine months after the Act becomes effective.

For 2011 and 2012

For 2011 and 2012, the gift tax is reunited with the estate tax. There is a lifetime basic exclusion amount of $5 million (which will be indexed for inflation in 2012). The top tax rate is 35% (for taxable gifts/estates in excess of $500,000).

 

The basic exclusion amount is portable (new in 2011). That means a surviving spouse can use that portion of the exclusion that was left unused by a deceased spouse. This "deceased spousal unused exclusion amount" (DSUEA) is available only from the estate of a spouse who dies in 2011 or 2012. For gift tax purposes, the DSUEA is available for an unlimited number of deceased spouses. But there can be only one DSUEA at a time. For gift tax purposes, the DSUEA is determined on the last day of the year using the DSUEA of the last deceased spouse as of such date. For estate tax purposes, however, the DSUEA is available only from the last deceased spouse as of the date of death of the surviving spouse. Thus, the DSUEA can change if the surviving spouse remarries, and is then widowed for a second time.

 

Note: An election is required on the estate of the first spouse to die in order to preserve the ability of the surviving spouse's estate to use the DSUEA.

 

The GST tax rate for transfers made after 2010 is equal to the highest estate tax rate in effect for the year. The GST exemption for 2011 is $5 million, which will be indexed for inflation for 2012.

 

Note: The GST tax exemption is not portable.

For 2013 and beyond

If there is no further legislation, the changes described above will sunset after 2012. The transfer tax rules that were in effect in 2000 will apply for 2013 and beyond. That means a gift and estate tax exemption equivalent amount of $1 million and a top tax rate of 55%.

College Savings Workshop next Tuesday
Keller Public Library Free Financial Education SeminarsI am providing a free workshop on saving for college in Texas on Tuesday, January 18 at 6:30 pm at the Keller Public Library.  We will cover the basics of 529 plans and the recent tax law changes for college funding.
Registration is encouraged for planning purposes. RSVP to library@cityofkeller.com.

 

The schedule for the first 6 months of the year is also set.  Workshops are always the 3rd Tuesday of the month at 6:30 pm.  Please mark your calendars and tell your friends about ones that interest you.

  • February: Maximizing social security benefits for baby boomers
  • March: Structuring your retirement income (designed for those in or very near retirement)
  • April: Your retirement savings game plan (designed for those 5 - 30 years from retirement)
  • May: Investing: How to build a diversified portfolio and keep your costs low
  • June: Basics of disability and life insurance

The Keller Public Library is located at 640 Johnson Road.

I hope you found this newsletter informative.  KFP offers a free, no-obligation initial consultation to start the financial planning process for new clients.  To learn more or schedule a time, call 817-993-0401 or e-mail jean@keenerfinancial.com.
 
Sincerely,
 
Jean Keener, CRPC, CFDP
Keener Financial Planning

Keener Financial Planning is an hourly, as-needed financial planning and investment advisory firm working with individuals at all financial levels.

All newsletter content Copyright ©2011, Keener Financial Planning, LLC.